Front Page

Profiles

Grab Bag

History

Guest Writers

Stumper

What Bids Work

Bids & Rank

IAAPA


  



THE HAVOCSTORIAN
BIDS - What works and what doesn't...

   Solar has done it again. He has added 272 games to the spreadsheat which looks at the successes of different types of bids. The more data the tables contain, the more accurate they become. You will also find graphs of the info and some commentary below.
   Doing the numbers :

BID EFFECTIVENESS
Overall Bids / #of Games 1033
BID Axis
Wins
Axis
Losses
Percent Wins
< 16 66 129 33.85 %
17 52 100 34.21 %
18 144 160 41.61 %
19 85 99 46.20 %
20 65 87 42.76 %
21 40 22 64.52 %
22 > 8 6 57.14 %
Total 430 603 41.63 %

The Combined Germany, Japan Navy Bid
BID Axis
Wins
Axis
Losses
Percent Wins
< 16 0 1 0.00 %
17 0 1 0.00 %
18 1 0 100 %
19 2 1 66.67 %
20 0 0 na
21 0 0 na
22 > 0 0 na
Total 3 3 50.00 %

The All European Germany Bid
BID Axis
Wins
Axis
Losses
Percent Wins
< 16 8 22 26.67 %
17 8 6 57.14 %
18 36 57 38.71 %
19 21 21 50.00 %
20 9 11 45.00 %
21 14 5 73.68 %
22 > 1 0 100 %
Total 97 122 44.29 %

Bids with German Navy
BID Axis
Wins
Axis
Losses
Percent Wins
< 16 12 15 44.44 %
17 11 13 45.83 %
18 5 9 35.71 %
19 5 8 38.46 %
20 11 13 45.83 %
21 0 2 0.00 %
22 > 1 1 50.00 %
Total 45 61 42.45 %

The Bids with German Airforce
BID Axis
Wins
Axis
Losses
Percent Wins
< 16 2 2 50.00 %
17 0 0 na
18 3 5 37.50 %
19 1 0 100 %
20 2 2 50.00 %
21 0 0 na
22 > 0 1 0.00 %
Total 8 10 44.44 %

The All Germany Africa Bid
BID Axis
Wins
Axis
Losses
Percent Wins
< 16 11 8 57.89 %
17 2 1 66.67 %
18 0 0 na
19 1 1 50.00 %
20 0 0 na
21 0 0 na
22 > 0 0 na
Total 14 10 58.33 %

The Combined Germany, Japan
All Land Bid
BID Axis
Wins
Axis
Losses
Percent Wins
< 16 26 57 31.33 %
17 26 68 27.66 %
18 61 80 43.26 %
19 48 61 44.04 %
20 36 50 41.86 %
21 22 13 62.86 %
22 > 5 4 55.56 %
Total 224 333 40.22 %

The All Mainland Japan Bid

BID Axis
Wins
Axis
Losses
Percent Wins
< 16 4 15 21.05 %
17 2 5 28.57 %
18 5 4 55.56 %
19 4 2 66.67 %
20 1 5 16.67 %
21 4 2 66.67 %
22 > 0 0 na
Total 20 33 37.74 %

The Bids with Japanese Navy
BID Axis
Wins
Axis
Losses
Percent Wins
< 16 3 9 25.00 %
17 3 6 33.33 %
18 2 5 28.57 %
19 2 5 28.57 %
20 6 6 50.00 %
21 0 0 na
22 > 1 0 100 %
Total 17 31 35.42 %

The Bids with Japanese Airforce
BID Axis
Wins
Axis
Losses
Percent Wins
< 16 0 0 na
17 0 0 na
18 1 0 100 %
19 1 0 100 %
20 0 0 na
21 0 0 na
22 > 0 0 na
Total 2 0 100 %


Fig. 1: Bid Popularity

   Figure 1 is a new graph this month. It is self explanatory.
   

Fig. 2: Bid Effectiveness
   Figure 2 is a very rough plot of Solar's data.

   As I said, the graph is fast'n'dirty but it does show a couple of things.
   The all European German bid performs well.
   German bids with navy (the third most popular bid) performs poorly.


   As usual: you can draw your own conclusions. Use at your own risk.

   Data and tables by Solar
   Graphs and prattle by Airship


Back to TOP of page